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October 31-November 2, 2008 – Peak Oil Activists Remain Optimistic Despite 'Scary' Halloween Conference
By Megan Quinn Bachman, Community Solutions ROCHESTER, Michigan – Peak oil activists from across the nation gathered on a college campus over the Halloween weekend to confront the scary prospects of declining worldwide oil production – and to focus on how they and their communities can cope. Despite grave reports of imminent and permanent falloffs in oil production, combined with financial meltdown and climate instability, participants at the Fifth U.S. Conference on Peak Oil and Community Solutions left Oakland University with strategies to dramatically cut energy use – plus the optimism that they can accomplish much.
Other speakers offered ways to make needed lifestyle changes – from creating household self-reliance to securing water supplies and increasing soil fertility, to saving gasoline with innovative ridesharing solutions using cell phones and the internet, to cutting utility bills by retrofitting homes to use 80 percent less energy and installing solar hot water systems. Community-level strategies were offered with presentations on creating resilient communities and forming Transition Towns, a community process for economic re-localization which started in England.
Murphy, author of Plan C: Community Survival Strategies of Peak Oil and Climate Change, focused on our severe economic challenges. He said that while Peak Oil could mean a slow decline in our standard of living and climate change could eventually make the planet uninhabitable for humans, we now also face a financial crisis that may require involuntary and immediate curtailment of energy and resource use. Orlov described the five stages of economic collapse underway in America today. He noted that the financial collapse has already begun with the disintegrating credit pyramids and the bailout treadmill, in which foreigners either buy our debt or its monetized causing hyperinflation. He said the signs of commercial and political collapse are also becoming clear, as global shipping slows and big box retailers struggle, and states experience major budget shortfalls and slash programs.
Orlov touched on the importance of community in concluding that we can avoid social and cultural collapse, but it will require that people extend personal virtues of generosity, compassion, and charity beyond family and friends to a wider circle "who matter to us, and we to them." ![]() Author John Michael Greer suggested to participants that a "window of opportunity" was opening for the Peak Oil movement, in which we can re-define whats practical, possible, and necessary for survival. He said that similar opportunities arose during the Great Depression and in the 1970s oil crises. He said that this led in the 1930s to the government adopting previously radical ideas, such as government insurance of bank deposits, social security, and legalized labor unions, and in the 1970s to recycling, organic agriculture, appropriate technology and alternative energy. Greer, author of a just-released book, The Long Descent: A Users Guide to the End of the Industrial Age, argued that highly volatile oil markets with record high price spikes has helped to shift the energy discussion. He quoted former US Energy Secretary James Schlesingers famous comment that America has only two modes of response to energy issues – complacency and panic. He said that Peak Oil activists have gotten use to complacency as a way of life and forgot, "how quickly panic can take hold and get very large numbers of people thinking about the unthinkable in a hurry." Greer ended his talk with an inspiring possibility: "The grandchildren of our grandchildren will tell their grandchildren stories about this time, the time when everything changed. And what each one of us does this weekend, and in the months and years that follow, has the power to shape those stories far into the future."
Food activist Chris Bedford talked about how to get communities to use local, organic food as an economic development strategy and persuade schools to purchase healthy, local food. He stressed the importance of organic agriculture, which is equally productive as conventional agriculture in good times, but twice as productive during droughts. He foresees organic farming as the high knowledge job of the 21st Century, and a coming identity crisis for conventional farmers when they realize they dont know how to grow food without fossil fuels.
Several innovative post-Peak Oil transportation schemes were proposed at the conference. A short-term solution, which uses the existing infrastructure of roads and cars, was the "Avego" shared transport system, a new service that aims to fill empty car seats through GPS technology, cell phones and web services. Sail boating was presented as a long-term utility which requires little maintenance or industrial infrastructure, and since its energy source is wind, is truly sustainable.
Community Solutions Outreach Director Megan Quinn Bachman described her vision of a community economy, in which essential needs are met close to home and security is not defined by how much money we accumulate, but in the acquisition of valuable skills, the support of neighbors, and the maintenance of healthy, diverse, and productive habitats. Voluntary changes and sharing resources will be critical, she said, warning of the dire implications of fierce resource competition during an energy decline.
George Perkins, a participant from Louisville, KY, echoed a similar view of the need for both personal and community empowerment. "This conference reinforced a sense of urgency to make significant personal changes and raise awareness in my community," he said. Megan Quinn Bachman is Outreach Director of Community Solutions, a non-profit based in Yellow Springs, Ohio which promotes energy reduction strategies for Peak Oil in the household sector. She can be reached
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